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Bangladesh project: the carbon picture, and where integrity pays

Public data on emissions, the 2035 targets and the market being built now. Every number links to its source.

Bangladesh from space. Photo: Jeff Schmaltz, LANCE/EOSDIS MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA GSFC, Public domain

The challenge

Tap the points in the picture to learn more

Bangladesh breathes some of the world's dirtiest airClean energy, cleaner industry and nature can turn it around, if every tonne is proven

66.1 µg/m³average PM2.5 in 2025, 13.2× the WHO guidelineIQAir World Air Quality Report
7,881brick kilns, 58.8% unlicensedDept. of Environment
20 millionpeople powered by solar home systemsWorld Bank
6,017 km²of Sundarbans mangroves storing carbonUNESCO site, 1997

Bangladesh in numbers

The real picture, from public data

Every figure links to its source. We update them as new data is published. Checked against sources on 30 October 2026.

0µg/m³

Average PM2.5 in Bangladesh in 2025, 13.2 times the WHO guideline

IQAir World Air Quality Report
0

Brick kilns in Bangladesh, 58.8% of them without a licence (figure given in Parliament, June 2022); in 2024 the ministry ordered 3,491 kilns without clearance to close

Parliament statement via The Daily Star; MoEFCC, Sep 2024
0million

People given electricity by solar home systems

World Bank, 2021
0Mt CO₂e

Emissions avoided by solar home systems, 2003 to 2018

World Bank, 2021
0km²

Of Sundarbans mangrove forest in Bangladesh; its core is a UNESCO World Heritage Site since 1997

Protected Planet (UNEP-WCMC)
0MW

Rooftop solar in Bangladesh by June 2026, according to government data cited by IEEFA; SREDA lists 1,694.94 MW of renewable capacity in total

IEEFA (Aug 2026); SREDA

Live, updated hourly

The world's air, right now

Air quality, CO₂, methane and temperature in 66 major cities. Bangladesh is marked with its current position.

Live map

Where the problem and the solutions are

Air pollution hotspots, protected forest, the largest solar parks and the projects we propose, on one map. Proposed projects are suggestions, not yet implemented.

Bay of Bengal124 µg/m³6,017 km²200 MW100 MW50 MW35 MW

What pollutes the air around Dhaka?

PM2.5 from sources inside the Greater Dhaka Area, 2020. These local sources cause 56% of the pollution people breathe there; the rest drifts in from the rest of Bangladesh (16%), other countries (21%) and natural dust (7%).

28%Households (mainly cooking)
24%Power plants
13%Brick kilns
11%Open burning of waste
8%Road dust
4%Vehicle exhaust
12%Other local sources

Source: National Air Quality Management Plan 2024–2030 (MoEFCC / Department of Environment), based on a World Bank-supported study of 2020 data

124.2Mt
fossil CO₂ in 2024
EDGAR (JRC/IEA)
0.31%
of world CO₂ emissions
EDGAR, 2024
252Mt
total greenhouse gases in 2022 (NDC base year)
NDC 3.0
418Mt
projected for 2035 if nothing changes
NDC 3.0

Fossil CO₂ emissions, 2015–2024

Fossil CO₂ only, million tonnes. Click the coloured dots to see what happened.

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Sources of greenhouse gases

Share of 252.04 MtCO₂e, 2022

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NDC 3.0: where Bangladesh is heading by 2035

Total greenhouse gases, MtCO₂e. Submitted to the UNFCCC on 29 Sep 2025.

2022 emissions
252.0
2035 business-as-usual
418.4
2035 with unconditional cut
391.7
2035 with international support
360.2

Gap to close: 26.74 Mt unconditionally, 58.23 Mt with finance. Source: The Financial Express

Where the opportunity is

Four places carbon finance can change the numbers

23.98Mt

CO₂ brick kilns could emit in 2030 under business-as-usual.

IEEFA

29million

Inefficient biomass cookstoves counted in 2019–20.

IEEFA

1.5% → 20%

Renewable electricity today versus the 2030 goal.

Ember (2023)

10projects

Registered under the old CDM, yielding 1.26M credits (0.05% of the world total). Weak MRV capacity was a key reason.

IEEFA

The market being built

Positive List, national registry, Article 6

A Designated National Authority now approves carbon projects. The draft Carbon Market Framework and Positive List were open for consultation until February 2026, and work on a national carbon registry and market guidelines is under way.

Renewable energy (solar, wind, hydro, biogas)Solar irrigation pumpsAfforestation and reforestation (coastal areas, islands, degraded land)Waste-to-energyElectric vehicles, charging and BRT

Draft Bangladesh Carbon Market Framework, under consultation (Feb 2026). Read the draft

Proposed projects versus the 2035 cut

Estimated reductions per year if the proposed projects go ahead (not yet implemented)

0.49Mt / year
≈ 1.8% of Bangladesh's unconditional 2035 cut of 26.74 Mt, from 15 proposed projects

Bar drawn at 8× scale so it is visible.

Paris Agreement · Article 6

How climate finance can reach Bangladesh, counted once

The Paris Agreement (2015) asks every country to set a climate target, its NDC . Article 6 lets countries and companies pay for emission cuts in another country and count them, as long as each tonne is counted only once. Its rules were agreed at COP26 in Glasgow in 2021.

  1. 1A project cuts emissions

    For example solar, clean cookstoves or mangrove restoration in Bangladesh, measured through MRV.

  2. 2Bangladesh authorises the transfer

    The government issues a letter of authorisation for the verified tonnes.

  3. 3The tonnes move to the buyer

    Another country, an airline under CORSIA or a company buys them. A registry records each serial number.

  4. 4Corresponding adjustment

    Bangladesh adds the transferred tonnes back to its own total, so the cut is never counted by two parties.

Article 6.2

Country-to-country deals. Transferred units are called ITMOs (internationally transferred mitigation outcomes).

Article 6.4

A UN-supervised crediting mechanism, the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism, which replaces the Kyoto-era CDM.

Where Synsta fits

Independent ratings, MRV that meets the Paris transparency framework, and a registry that tracks authorisations and corresponding adjustments, so nothing is double counted.

Our registries
Proposed Bangladesh projects

15 proposed projects across 6 sectors

Renewable energy, forests and blue carbon, waste, clean cooking, energy efficiency and green mobility, each rated on the same seven criteria.

Browse projects
Renewable energy Forests & blue carbon Waste & biogas Clean cooking Energy efficiency Green mobility

The Synsta platform Concept · not started yet

Integrated Registry for Bangladesh Carbon Market

This is what we propose to build: one secure place where projects, monitoring, ratings, serial-numbered credits and retirements could be recorded. Work has not started yet. The demo shows how it would work, using sample data.

What it would include

  • Role-based access for developers, verifiers, buyers and government
  • A clear path from project idea to issued credits
  • A tamper-evident ledger designed to prevent double counting
  • Support for Article 6 authorisations and corresponding adjustments
  1. ConceptWe are here
  2. ConsultationWith government and partners
  3. PilotA first set of projects
  4. LaunchOpen to the market
Concept preview · sample data
435ksample credits
15example projects
Aexample rating
DhakaBay of Bengal
Renewable energy Forests & blue carbon Waste & biogas Clean cooking Energy efficiency Green mobility